Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000651 0.000745 0.000845 0.000958 0.001083 0.001216 0.001369
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000496 0.000624 0.000769 0.000946 0.001153 0.001387 0.001669
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000407 0.000546 0.000712 0.000922 0.001179 0.001480 0.001856
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000350 0.000498 0.000683 0.000925 0.001232 0.001601 0.002074
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000310 0.000464 0.000664 0.000935 0.001287 0.001723 0.002293
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000264 0.000417 0.000623 0.000911 0.001296 0.001783 0.002435
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000225 0.000375 0.000583 0.000884 0.001297 0.001830 0.002558
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000200 0.000349 0.000563 0.000882 0.001328 0.001915 0.002731
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000327 0.000546 0.000880 0.001359 0.002000 0.002904
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000303 0.000524 0.000869 0.001374 0.002063 0.003048
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000138 0.000278 0.000499 0.000852 0.001379 0.002110 0.003171
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000270 0.000498 0.000871 0.001436 0.002231 0.003395
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000260 0.000495 0.000886 0.001490 0.002349 0.003622
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000240 0.000473 0.000870 0.001495 0.002399 0.003755
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000220 0.000449 0.000850 0.001492 0.002435 0.003867
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000209 0.000440 0.000852 0.001524 0.002522 0.004054
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000201 0.000435 0.000861 0.001566 0.002625 0.004267
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000184 0.000413 0.000839 0.001557 0.002651 0.004365
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000167 0.000389 0.000814 0.001541 0.002665 0.004447
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000158 0.000380 0.000811 0.001562 0.002736 0.004614
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000150 0.000371 0.000810 0.001585 0.002810 0.004786
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000140 0.000358 0.000800 0.001592 0.002858 0.004920
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000130 0.000342 0.000783 0.001588 0.002888 0.005026